-
link to article
- by William Briggs
summary
The probability leakage of model M with respect to evidence E is defined. Probability leakage is a kind of model error. It occurs when M implies that events y, which are impossible given E, have positive probability. Leakage does not imply model falsification. Models with probability leakage cannot be calibrated empirically. Regression models, which are ubiquitous in statistical practice, often evince probability leakage.
Let's start with the truth!
Support the Broken Science Initiative.
Subscribe today →
recent posts
Paradigm Shifts, Entrenched Thinking, and the Future of Medicine
A new paper proposes a single ratio, read off a fingerprick, that tells you where your metabolism is headed. It started in a cancer clinic. Its authors think it belongs in every MetFix affiliate.
Mark Sisson separates longevity fads from the habits that consistently improve health and performance
