When Consensus Replaces Predictive Value, Science Becomes Nonsense

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William Briggs

By William BriggsStick with me on this not-so-easy subject, because I’m going to reveal a trick used to make you “Follow the Science!”Belief is an act. Uncertainty is a state. Decision is a choice. Probability is a calculation. There is no difference between belief and decision in the sense th...

Broken Science

Februaury 21, 2024 Article by Gary Smith on Retraction Watch.Economist Gary Smith digs into a published study on green innovations that failed to disclose missing pieces of its dataset. Rather than presenting an incomplete study, the authors inferred values for the missing sections with trend lines ...

Malcolm Kendrick

By Malcolm KendrickIn previous articles (1, 2, 3, 4) I have been analyzing the FOURIER study in some detail, and I will continue to do so here. Not because this research paper represents some weird outlier—the worst, of the worst, of the worst research ever. But because it is an excellent case stu...

Emily Kaplan

https://youtu.be/CfIJjKEmrd4In this video Emily explains the difference between a Bayesian approach and a frequentist approach to analyzing statistics. A Bayesian analysis looks at prior probabilities combined with data to determine the probability that the hypothesis is true. A frequentist analysis...

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William Briggs

By William BriggsStick with me on this not-so-easy subject, because I’m going to reveal a trick used to make you “Follow the Science!”Belief is an act. Uncertainty is a state. Decision is a choice. Probability is a calculation. There is no difference between belief and decision in the sense th...

Broken Science

Februaury 21, 2024 Article by Gary Smith on Retraction Watch.Economist Gary Smith digs into a published study on green innovations that failed to disclose missing pieces of its dataset. Rather than presenting an incomplete study, the authors inferred values for the missing sections with trend lines ...

Emily Kaplan

On February 27th, BSI Co-Founder and CEO Emily Kaplan was interviewed by Dr. Ken Berry. During the livestream, the two discussed diabetes, misleading health studies, and issues with medical journalism.Ken D Berry, MD is a Family Physician, Speaker and Author based near Nashville, Tennessee, U.S. He ...

Emily Kaplan

On February 15th, Co-founder and CEO of The Broken Science Initiative, Emily Kaplan, went onto the B FIT Podcast with Connor Murphy. Connor Murphy is a celebrity trainer, Crossfit seminar staff, and trainer at Big Night Fitness.On the show Emily dives into the fundamentals of the initiative. From th...

Emily Kaplan

On February 27th, BSI Co-Founder and CEO Emily Kaplan was interviewed by Dr. Ken Berry. During the livestream, the two discussed diabetes, misleading health studies, and issues with medical journalism.Ken D Berry, MD is a Family Physician, Speaker and Author based near Nashville, Tennessee, U.S. He ...

Emily Kaplan

On February 15th, Co-founder and CEO of The Broken Science Initiative, Emily Kaplan, went onto the B FIT Podcast with Connor Murphy. Connor Murphy is a celebrity trainer, Crossfit seminar staff, and trainer at Big Night Fitness.On the show Emily dives into the fundamentals of the initiative. From th...

Malcolm Kendrick

By Malcolm KendrickIn previous articles (1, 2, 3, 4) I have been analyzing the FOURIER study in some detail, and I will continue to do so here. Not because this research paper represents some weird outlier—the worst, of the worst, of the worst research ever. But because it is an excellent case stu...

Broken Science

Februaury 15, 2024 Article by Elisabeth Bik. "A review article with some obviously fake and non-scientific illustrations created by Artificial Intelligence (AI) was the talk on X (Twitter) today. The figures in the paper were generated by the AI tool Midjourney, which generated some pretty...

Emily Kaplan

On February 27th, BSI Co-Founder and CEO Emily Kaplan was interviewed by Dr. Ken Berry. During the livestream, the two discussed diabetes, misleading health studies, and issues with medical journalism.Ken D Berry, MD is a Family Physician, Speaker and Author based near Nashville, Tennessee, U.S. He ...

Russell Berger

By Russell Berger On November 30th, JAMA Network Open published  Cardiometabolic Effects of Omnivorous vs Vegan Diets in Identical Twins. The study has a lot of things going for it: A prestigious research team from Stanford Medical school, the growing popularity of vegan diets, and the novelty of ...

Broken Science

This editorial commentary by Gerd Gigerenzer and Julian Marewski discusses the dream of a universal method of inference in science. The great mathematician Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz dreamed of a universal calculus in which all ideas could be represented by symbols and discussed without bickering. He...

Emily Kaplan

https://youtu.be/dBV3tYTUr5Q Emily explains the strengths, weaknesses, and ways to interpret observational studies. These types of studies can be useful for identifying links between things, and then generating hypotheses. However, the results of any observational study are strictly corollary, and ...

William Briggs

By William BriggsStick with me on this not-so-easy subject, because I’m going to reveal a trick used to make you “Follow the Science!”Belief is an act. Uncertainty is a state. Decision is a choice. Probability is a calculation. There is no difference between belief and decision in the sense th...

Broken Science

September 2012 book by Sharon Bertsch.Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores the controversial theorem of Bayes' rule, and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre ...

Emily Kaplan

https://youtu.be/CfIJjKEmrd4In this video Emily explains the difference between a Bayesian approach and a frequentist approach to analyzing statistics. A Bayesian analysis looks at prior probabilities combined with data to determine the probability that the hypothesis is true. A frequentist analysis...

Emily Kaplan

https://youtu.be/scSqDj0regUSimply put, a p-value is a measure of the likelihood that the results of a study are due to the hypothesis, and not simply a result of chance. It compares the “null hypothesis,” the idea that the thing being studied has no effect, vs the “alternative hypothesis,” ...

Emily Kaplan

On February 15th, Co-founder and CEO of The Broken Science Initiative, Emily Kaplan, went onto the B FIT Podcast with Connor Murphy. Connor Murphy is a celebrity trainer, Crossfit seminar staff, and trainer at Big Night Fitness.On the show Emily dives into the fundamentals of the initiative. From th...

Broken Science

Heuristic decision making refers to mental shortcuts or 'rules of thumb' used by individuals to make swift decisions, particularly under pressure or when there is a lack of detailed information. This type of thinking has been criticized as a shortcut, prone to bias, and “predictably irrational”....

Broken Science

Gerd Gigerenzer's paper criticizes the lack of attention paid to effect sizes and the undue emphasis on null hypothesis testing in research. Despite the American Psychological Association's recommendations, effect sizes are rarely reported, hindering the computation of statistical power in tests. It...

Malcolm Kendrick

By Malcolm Kendrick Medicine has always been a highly conservative profession. It is both rigidly hierarchical and highly resistant to change. In large part because those at the top are perfectly happy with the status quo. People at the top usually are. It was the status quo they rode to the top of...

Broken Science

Februaury 21, 2024 Article by Gary Smith on Retraction Watch.Economist Gary Smith digs into a published study on green innovations that failed to disclose missing pieces of its dataset. Rather than presenting an incomplete study, the authors inferred values for the missing sections with trend lines ...

Emily Kaplan

On February 27th, BSI Co-Founder and CEO Emily Kaplan was interviewed by Dr. Ken Berry. During the livestream, the two discussed diabetes, misleading health studies, and issues with medical journalism.Ken D Berry, MD is a Family Physician, Speaker and Author based near Nashville, Tennessee, U.S. He ...

Emily Kaplan

On February 15th, Co-founder and CEO of The Broken Science Initiative, Emily Kaplan, went onto the B FIT Podcast with Connor Murphy. Connor Murphy is a celebrity trainer, Crossfit seminar staff, and trainer at Big Night Fitness.On the show Emily dives into the fundamentals of the initiative. From th...

Malcolm Kendrick

By Malcolm KendrickIn previous articles (1, 2, 3, 4) I have been analyzing the FOURIER study in some detail, and I will continue to do so here. Not because this research paper represents some weird outlier—the worst, of the worst, of the worst research ever. But because it is an excellent case stu...