link to article by William Briggs Briggs, 2015 — The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause Today’s post, in a way, [...]

link to article James Franklin Summary The logical interpretation of probability, or “objective Bayesianism” – the theory that (some) probabilitiesare strictly logical degrees of partial [...]

link to book John Maynard Keynes

link to article by William Briggs summary The probability leakage of model M with respect to evidence E is defined. Probability leakage is a kind [...]

View Article Here summary The Democrats will probably win the next election.’ ‘The coin is just as likely to land heads as tails.’ ‘There’s a [...]

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Class 2, 18.05 -Jeremy Orloff and Jonathan Bloom