The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal


Summary

In "The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal," James Franklin takes readers on a journey through history, examining how people made predictions and understood risk before the formal introduction of probability in 1654 by Pascal and Fermat. From courtroom decisions involving witch inquisitions to merchants assessing insurance rates based on shipwrecks, Franklin sheds light on the various rational approaches used in different fields to navigate the uncertain terrains. This book offers a fascinating look into the evolution of the human understanding of uncertainty and risk, long before the modern concepts we know today

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Probability before pascal by James Franklin

Summary:

In "The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal," James Franklin takes readers on a journey through history, examining how people made predictions and understood risk before the formal introduction of probability in 1654 by Pascal and Fermat. From courtroom decisions involving witch inquisitions to merchants assessing insurance rates based on shipwrecks, Franklin sheds light on the various rational approaches used in different fields to navigate the uncertain terrains. This book offers a fascinating look into the evolution of the human understanding of uncertainty and risk, long before the modern concepts we know today

--------- Original ---------

Jump to original

Probability before pascal by James Franklin

Summary:

In "The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal," James Franklin takes readers on a journey through history, examining how people made predictions and understood risk before the formal introduction of probability in 1654 by Pascal and Fermat. From courtroom decisions involving witch inquisitions to merchants assessing insurance rates based on shipwrecks, Franklin sheds light on the various rational approaches used in different fields to navigate the uncertain terrains. This book offers a fascinating look into the evolution of the human understanding of uncertainty and risk, long before the modern concepts we know today.

--------- Original ---------